Craps Strategies
Trying to give a brief strategy guide to Craps is
like trying to teach calculus quickly: 99% of the time it ain't
gonna happen. Tough! Let's give it a shot anyway.
Let me give you
my strategy for just about everything: take the best odds you
can get, nudge them in your favor as much as you possibly
can and play smart. In Craps the best odds on the table are Pass,
Don't Pass, Come, and Don't Come because they give the house the
smallest edge. Everything else is for the impatient, the imprudent
or the "gifted" -- rubes one and all if you ask me.
The
Best Bets
The numbers people say that a Pass bet gives the house a 1.41%
edge. And a Don't Pass yields slightly less than 1.40% to the house.
These
are the Line Bets and they're the heart of a winner's strategy
because everything else gives too much away. For example:
- The Field gives
away 5.6%.
- Big 6/Big 8 gives 9.1%.
- Horn: 12.5%.
- Craps 2/Craps 12: 13.9%
- Any 7: 16.7%.
See what I mean? Craps is about dice and dice are
about percentages. The smart money gives as little away as possible
and that means Pass/Don't Pass
at around
1.4%. Those bets and how to improve them is what this article is about.
While
we're at it, it's worth keeping in mind that Come/Don't Come bets follow the
same odds and logic. The only thing different about them is the timing as
to when they're placed.
Improve Your Bets
Okay, so the smart bets are Pass/Don't Pass (and Come/Don't Come).
Now how can we improve the best bets in Craps? The Odds,
that's how -- either by Buying Odds
when you play "right" (Pass) or Laying Odds when you play "wrong" (Don't
Pass). These are placed in addition to your initial bet after the Come Out roll
and the reason they improve your initial bet is that the house takes no edge
on Odds. That's right, zero house. All you're betting against is the straight
dice. But you could spend a long time looking at the felt trying to find where
the Odds bets are supposed to go. The truth is they're not marked. It's a "hidden" bet,
so to speak.
The word is that in Vegas the big houses simply take
the position that it's not their responsibility to inform the players
of all their betting
options, so the
Odds stay unmarked. Needless to say, our online friends are not in the business
of correcting Vegas so they take the same approach: no Odds to be seen. No
biggie, it's an easy bet to make and it will improve your original
Line bet by almost
halving the house edge or better, if the house let's you do it.
Placing an Odds
Bet
An Odds bet is made by supplementing your original Pass/Don't Pass bet by an
additional amount after you've made it past the Come Out roll. The bets are
placed right beside your initial bet on the Pass/Don't Pass line. In Vegas
it's typical
for the house to restrict these bets to Single Odds, meaning you can match
your Come Out bet with an equal amount. And as I said, that'll about half the
house
edge on your initial bet.
The good news is that the online casinos I've sampled
let you bet double your initial Line bet. This is called Double Odds and it
cuts their edge even further,
to a little more than 40% of their initial edge. So that 1.4% they originally
had is now down to about 0.6%. It's a smart play. Generally speaking, and assuming
you can handle the gaff, buy the biggest Odds you can find because the larger
the Odds bet, the more you shave off the house edge on your initial bet.
Buying
Odds
When you play "right" and Buy Odds, you're supplementing a Pass bet
and if you win you'll get your winnings based on the Point. So assuming a Pass
Bet of $5:
| Buying Double Odds ($10) |
| Point |
Payout |
Pays (Win) |
| 4 to 10 |
2 - 1 |
$30 ($20) |
| 5 to 9 |
3 - 2 |
$25 ($15) |
| 6 to 8 |
6 - 5 |
$22 ($12) |
Buying Double Odds ($10)
Point Payout Pays (Win)
4 or 10 2-1 $30 ($20)
5 or 9 3-2 $25 ($15)
6 or 8 6-5 $22 ($12)
I'm just showing your Odds win here, not the total.
In other words, on a right bet of $5, where the Come Out roll sets
a Point of 10, your
total take on the
win will be $40: your original $5 bet back plus a winning on that of $5, plus
your Odds bet back ($10) and the winnings from that ($20).
Laying Odds
Conversely, when you Lay Odds you're supplementing a Don't Pass
Bet and win as follows (assume an initial $5 Don't Pass bet):
| Laying Double Odds ($10) |
| Point |
Payout |
Pays (Win) |
| 4 to 10 |
2 - 1 |
$15 ($5) |
| 5 to 9 |
3 - 2 |
$16 ($6) |
| 6 to 8 |
6 - 5 |
$18 ($8) |
So to follow the Buy example above, an initial wrong
bet of $5 on a Come Out roll of 10 will yield a total win of $25:
your initial $5
back plus its win of
$5, your $10 Odds bet back plus its win of $5.
Now here's another little trick.
Most casinos only pay in denominations as small as $1. In other words, you
lose any fraction of a dollar that you would otherwise
have coming. Because of the Odds your Laying, 3-2 and 6-5 in particular, you're
losing fractions if you bet as given above because most multiples of 10 are
not wholly divisible by 3 or 6. On the 5/9 Point you lose $0.67,
and on the 6/8 Point
you lose $0.33. Nothing much, you say? But we're talking about not giving the
house anything more than they already have, right? So let's look at another
scenario.
Now
let's say you place a wrong bet of $6 instead of $5. In that case your Double
Odds bet can be $12. And as you'll see from the following table, you lose no
fractions on this bet. You keep all the win you have coming because all multiples
of 12 are wholly divisible by 3 (as in the 3-2 odds) and by 6 (as in the 6-5
Odds).
| Laying Double Odds ($12) |
| Point |
Payout |
Pays (Win) |
| 4 to 10 |
2 - 1 |
$18 ($6) |
| 5 to 9 |
3 - 2 |
$20 ($8) |
| 6 to 8 |
6 - 5 |
$22 ($10) |
So basically what I'm saying is if you're going to
Lay Odds, make your initial Don't Pass bet a multiple of $6, and
bet full on your Double
Odds for a multiple
of $12.
The same logic applies, by the way, with Buying Odds.
Make your Pass bet a multiple of $5 so your Double Odds will be
in multiples of $10. This is optimal
because
your divisions are going to be by 1, 2, and 5.
Testing the Strategy
Most players are going to prefer playing right and Buy the Odds
because the payouts look larger, but then you're playing
against slightly higher odds. If you're
hardcore about playing to win you'd be well advised to look seriously at playing
wrong, taking the smaller house edge, and grinding it out. The gurus sum it
up by saying that playing right and Buying Odds is the more
popular and a bit riskier.
Playing wrong and Laying Odds is considerably less popular with the Craps crowds,
shaves the house edge to a minimum and is for players with a large roll and
the patience to grind out the winnings over extended play.
So I tested the strategy
on a number of online casinos. What I found was the playing wrong and Laying
Odds was definitely to my tastes, which is no surprise
because I have always preferred the Don't Pass bets. Now when it comes to kicking
out for the Double Odds I have to say that I found it better for my peace of
mind, if not strictly for the best edge, to not Lay Double on every round.
If
you look at the Point frequencies you'll see that there are three ways to roll
a 4 or 10, four ways to roll a 5 or 9, and five ways to roll a 6 or 8 and,
finally, six ways to roll an Out 7. In other words, when betting wrong and
always placing Double Odds, those 6's and 8's are gonna turn up
fairly frequently and
you're going to lose your bets. In short, it's a game of nerves to play that
way and, speaking for myself, I don't like it. So what I've done is Double
Odds on the 4 and 10 and let the rest ride. What I'm doing, of
course, is betting
exceptionally conservatively since the 4/10 Points are the least likely to
show and are therefore the safest wrong bets to Double up on. It
makes for a slow
game but I was almost always able to better my holdings if I stuck with it.
It might not be everyone's cup of tea, but I like it when the chips
pile up and
I don't like it when they drain away. It's basically a style of play that suits
my temperament.
Conclusion
So there it is: Pass/Don't Pass (or Come/Don't Come) only, while
playing the highest Odds you can get will help you shave
the house edge to a minimum. Modify
to suit your tastes, as I did in standing on every wrong bet save the 4/10
Points. And finally, don't give the house your fractions.
Shooters up!
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